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To reverse a years of deteriorating overall aspect productivity, local labour market policy is shifting from easy task development to managing active workforce transitions. Governments and employers are scaling short, modular training programmes and micro-credentials in data analytics and digital operations to equip workers for emerging functions. Workplace-based learning and apprenticeship-style paths are ending up being more typical as firms incorporate AI tools into day-to-day workflows.
With oil costs forecasted to typical $55-60 per barrel in 2026, regional federal governments are intensifying their focus on expense discipline and personal capital mobilisation. Financial policy is rotating toward the monetisation of state-owned possessions in logistics, utilities, and desalination to reroute funds toward higher-impact financial investments. While borrowing via sukuk and sustainability-linked bonds is anticipated to increase to fund tactical deficits, the focus remains on reinforcing non-oil profits frameworks.
PwC Middle East economic policy and technique partner Jing Teow said: "Having currently mobilised capital and policy at scale, GCC federal governments are now focused on shipment. In 2026, the priority is strengthening economic durability through more safe trade and financial investment relationships, reliable AI deployment, handled workforce transitions and disciplined fiscal policy in a more tough and fragmented global environment.".
Saudi Arabia and UAE are poised to lead the Gulf region's financial growth in 2026, supported by strong private-sector efficiency, resilient domestic demand and restored investment momentum, according to the most recent ICAEW Economic Insight Q4 2025 report, produced by Oxford Economics. The GCC is expected to outshine most worldwide regions peers next year, with local GDP forecast to grow by 4.4%. Across the GCC, non-energy activity is predicted to expand by 4.1% in 2026, driven by strong labour markets, enhancing credit conditions and increasing investment in innovation and AI-related infrastructure.
Although oil earnings will be under pressure in the very first half of 2026, production is expected to rise once again in the 2nd half of 2026, supporting the area's medium-term outlook, it stated. Saudi Arabia will remain a significant factor to GCC momentum, with GDP forecast to grow 4.3% in 2026.
Growth will be supported by industrial growth and policy reforms, including relieved foreign ownership rules that intend to stimulate more financial investment. The financial deficit is projected to broaden to 5.6% of GDP next year in the middle of softer oil costs, while the recent five-year lease freeze in Riyadh aims to relieve inflationary pressures, though it may constrain future real estate supply.
Strong domestic fundamentalsThe UAE is likewise placed for another strong year of efficiency, with GDP projection to rise 5.6% in 2026 as non-oil sectors continue to broaden. Tourism, trade and financial services remain crucial growth chauffeurs, supported by population growth and sustained domestic demand. Dubai's economy grew 4.4% in the first half of 2025, showing broad-based non-oil strength.
Oil production is anticipated to select up again in the second half of 2026, complementing ongoing financial investment in infrastructure, technology and worldwide trade partnerships. Hanadi Khalife, the Head of Middle East, ICAEW, stated: "This quarter's outlook enhances how far the GCC has actually can be found in structure varied, resilient and worldwide competitive economies.
Is Your Saudi Entry Technique Ready for New Industrial Hubs?Scott Livermore, ICAEW Economic Consultant, and Chief Economist and Handling Director, Oxford Economics Middle East, said: "Saudi Arabia and the UAE are going into 2026 with strong foundations. Saudi non-oil activity is getting pace, supported by robust demand and increasing investment, even as fiscal pressures increase.""The UAE continues to benefit from strong domestic fundamentals, a sharp uplift in government spending and continual diversification efforts.
Is Your Saudi Entry Technique Ready for New Industrial Hubs?What differentiates 2026 from preceding years is not merely the acceleration of technological change, though that velocity is real, but rather an essential shift in how enterprises conceive of their GCCs' purpose. The is expected to grow to four hundred thirteen billion dollars by 2040, however this development masks a more extensive change.
Rather, they ask whether these centers drive development, own profit-and-loss obligation, and contribute to competitive differentiation. In 2026, the most successful GCCs will behave like internal start-ups, agile, cross-functional, insight-driven, and deeply aligned with worldwide organization outcomes. This shift from execution to ownership represents possibly the single most considerable tactical recalibration in the GCC model's advancement.
Today, we're convening more than 3000 meetings between investors and 119 Gulf-listed business with a combined value of $2.4 trillion at the HSBC GCC Exchanges Conference 2026, in London. We're combining financiers, business, exchanges, and policymakers to discuss what is altering in the region, and what follows, consisting of the growth and ongoing advancement of the Gulf's capital markets, and the region's growing role in global networks of capital and trade.
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