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To reverse a years of weakening total aspect productivity, local labour market policy is shifting from simple job creation to managing active workforce shifts. Federal governments and employers are scaling short, modular training programmes and micro-credentials in information analytics and digital operations to equip employees for emerging functions. Workplace-based knowing and apprenticeship-style pathways are becoming more common as firms incorporate AI tools into everyday workflows.
With oil prices forecasted to typical $55-60 per barrel in 2026, regional governments are intensifying their concentrate on expenditure discipline and personal capital mobilisation. Fiscal policy is rotating toward the monetisation of state-owned assets in logistics, energies, and desalination to redirect funds towards higher-impact investments. While loaning through sukuk and sustainability-linked bonds is expected to increase to fund strategic deficits, the focus remains on strengthening non-oil income structures.
PwC Middle East economic policy and strategy partner Jing Teow stated: "Having currently mobilised capital and policy at scale, GCC federal governments are now focused on shipment. In 2026, the top priority is enhancing financial resilience through more secure trade and financial investment relationships, effective AI release, managed workforce shifts and disciplined fiscal policy in a more challenging and fragmented international environment.".

Saudi Arabia and UAE are poised to lead the Gulf region's financial growth in 2026, supported by strong private-sector efficiency, resilient domestic need and renewed investment momentum, according to the latest ICAEW Economic Insight Q4 2025 report, produced by Oxford Economics. The GCC is anticipated to outshine most global regions peers next year, with regional GDP forecast to grow by 4.4%. Across the GCC, non-energy activity is predicted to broaden by 4.1% in 2026, driven by strong labour markets, improving credit conditions and increasing financial investment in technology and AI-related facilities.
Although oil earnings will be under pressure in the first half of 2026, production is expected to increase once again in the second half of 2026, supporting the area's medium-term outlook, it specified. Saudi Arabia will stay a significant contributor to GCC momentum, with GDP projection to grow 4.3% in 2026.
Development will be supported by industrial expansion and policy reforms, including relieved foreign ownership rules that aim to stimulate more financial investment. The fiscal deficit is forecasted to widen to 5.6% of GDP next year in the middle of softer oil prices, while the current five-year lease freeze in Riyadh aims to alleviate inflationary pressures, though it might constrain future housing supply.
Strong domestic fundamentalsThe UAE is likewise positioned for another strong year of performance, with GDP projection to increase 5.6% in 2026 as non-oil sectors continue to broaden. Tourist, trade and financial services stay crucial growth drivers, supported by population development and continual domestic need. Dubai's economy grew 4.4% in the very first half of 2025, showing broad-based non-oil strength.

Oil production is anticipated to pick up again in the 2nd half of 2026, matching continuous investment in infrastructure, innovation and worldwide trade collaborations. Hanadi Khalife, the Head of Middle East, ICAEW, stated: "This quarter's outlook reinforces how far the GCC has actually can be found in building diverse, durable and internationally competitive economies.
Scott Livermore, ICAEW Economic Consultant, and Chief Financial Expert and Managing Director, Oxford Economics Middle East, stated: "Saudi Arabia and the UAE are entering 2026 with strong foundations. Saudi non-oil activity is acquiring pace, supported by robust need and rising investment, even as fiscal pressures increase.""The UAE continues to gain from strong domestic fundamentals, a sharp uplift in government costs and continual diversification efforts.
Expert Advice On Managing GCC Economy DynamicsWhat identifies 2026 from preceding years is not just the acceleration of technological change, though that acceleration is real, however rather a fundamental shift in how enterprises envisage their GCCs' purpose. The is anticipated to grow to 4 hundred thirteen billion dollars by 2040, but this growth masks a more profound improvement.
Rather, they ask whether these centers drive development, own profit-and-loss obligation, and add to competitive distinction. In 2026, the most successful GCCs will behave like internal startups, nimble, cross-functional, insight-driven, and deeply aligned with global business results. This shift from execution to ownership represents perhaps the single most substantial strategic recalibration in the GCC model's advancement.
Today, we're convening more than 3000 meetings between investors and 119 Gulf-listed companies with a combined value of $2.4 trillion at the HSBC GCC Exchanges Conference 2026, in London. We're combining investors, business, exchanges, and policymakers to discuss what is altering in the area, and what follows, including the expansion and ongoing development of the Gulf's capital markets, and the region's growing function in international networks of capital and trade.
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